GTM · Guatemala City · 17.7M people
Population
17.7M
GDP
$102B
Top Disruption
Political
65/100
Future Path
Select a future path. All sections below update automatically.
Guatemala shows moderate disruption levels overall (avg 42/100), with political risk as the leading signal. Ecological stress (60/100) and political risk form the dual pressure points to watch.
High — Active disruption underway in key sectors
Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors
Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors
Moderate — Building pressure in all sectors — especially finance
Moderate — Moderate exposure across select industries
Moderate — Moderate exposure across select industries
Low — Moderate exposure across select industries
Low — Moderate exposure across knowledge work
Minimal — Limited disruption signal
Guatemala vs State Average
Click a dimension label to explore
Political instability + economic stress + declining social trust creates a governance crisis environment. Regulatory uncertainty compounds economic disruption.
Precedent: 2008-2010: Financial crisis + political polarization + institutional trust erosion created conditions for lasting policy instability.
Guatemala: 3 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.
Ecological stress amplifies economic disruption through insurance costs, infrastructure damage, supply chain disruptions, and forced migration patterns.
Precedent: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Texas winter storm (2021): climate events created multi-year economic disruption in affected regions.
Guatemala: 2 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.
Social trust erosion + political instability creates conditions for governance dysfunction, contested elections, and regulatory paralysis.
Precedent: 2020-2024: US political polarization + institutional trust decline produced contested elections, regulatory uncertainty, and capital flight from affected jurisdictions.
Guatemala: 2 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.
Click Generate to analyze anti-AI sentiment and create a SWOT analysis for Guatemala using xAI Grok.
See how Meridian' Oracle tracks geopolitical signals affecting Guatemala.
View prediction track record