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Globe/United States/Iowa/Clinton County

Clinton County

Mississippi River Corridor (Eastern Iowa), Iowa · 46K people · $2.5B GDP

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Timeline
2026Present
NOW
EVENT HORIZON
2020202620302035204020452050
Mississippi River Corridor (Eastern Iowa)

Future Path

Pick a future path. Every number on this page updates with the impacts and the ranked actions for that path.

Disruption Profile

Baseline + Probable

High — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Median household income $61K (-15.2% vs state median) -- significantly below state average, limiting consumer spending and tax base.

Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Moderate exposure across select industries

Low — Moderate exposure across select industries

Low — Moderate exposure across select industries

Minimal — AI Exposure Index: 38/100 -- lower vulnerability to AI-driven workforce disruption.

Minimal — Limited disruption signal

Clinton County vs Iowa Average

Clinton County exceeds Iowa average on 5/9 dimensions. Highest divergence: Social Trust (-32)

Click a dimension label to explore

Clinton Iowa US Avg

Projected impact · 2026

Stakes for Clinton County

Probable cone · 1.00x

With 21K jobs in Clinton County and AI exposure at 38/100, here is what the model projects through 2031 under the probable cone (default 5-year horizon — scrub the timeline to extend).

Model: at-risk = workforce × (AI exposure ÷ 100) × ((year − 2020) ÷ 10, capped 0-1) × cone multiplier. Each STEEPE-point improvement preserves ~1% of at-risk jobs. The same formula runs backwards (retrodiction) and forwards (projection), so scrubbing pre-2026 shows what the model says was already exposed by that year.

See per-dimension breakdown

How 8 actions distribute across 4 dimensions, plus near-term vs medium-term lists.

If Clinton County implements all 8 recommended actions, the model projects these dimensional improvements.

Education Value
42+20 pts
Close the Skills Gap with AI-Ready Credentials /Pre-emptive Reskilling Pipeline: Corn wet-milling process operations /Sector-Aligned K-12 + Community College Pipeline /Registered Apprenticeship Expansion: Manufacturing (food, chemicals, plastics, metals)
Economic Disruption
48+8 pts
Reduce Manufacturing (food, chemicals, plastics, metals) Concentration Risk
AI > AGI > ASI
12+6 pts
Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact /Universal Broadband for AI Economy Participation
Social Trust
56+4 pts
Pre-Positioned Displaced Worker Rapid Response
Near-term (1-3 yr)+37 pts

7 actions within local control

  • - Reduce Manufacturing (food, chemicals, plastics, metals) Concentration Risk
  • - Close the Skills Gap with AI-Ready Credentials
  • - Pre-emptive Reskilling Pipeline: Corn wet-milling process operations
  • - Sector-Aligned K-12 + Community College Pipeline
  • - Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact
  • - Registered Apprenticeship Expansion: Manufacturing (food, chemicals, plastics, metals)
  • - Pre-Positioned Displaced Worker Rapid Response
Medium-term (3-7 yr)+1 pts

1 action requiring partnerships or advocacy

  • - Universal Broadband for AI Economy Participation

Action Plan

Probable path

Top recommendations for Clinton County, ranked by estimated impact. 8 total · +38 pts combined.

Who Can Act

Of 8 recommended actions for Clinton County, 7 are within direct control. Tap a sphere to see the actions and what each one does.

Acting on the 7 local levers alone (+37 STEEPE pts) is the fastest path to shifting the probable→preferred future cone for this county.

Top Employers — Clinton County

The 7 largest employers shaping the local labor market. Tap any row for the public-data profile and AI-exposure assessment.

Economic Development Authority

Clinton Regional Development Corporation

Mississippi River Corridor Industrial Diversification

Website

Target Sectors

Agribusiness & Food Processing (ADM corn-wet-milling value chain)Advanced Manufacturing (chemicals, plastics, metals)River & Rail LogisticsHealthcare & Workforce Training

Active Programs

  • +Iowa Economic Development Authority site-development grants
  • +Eastern Iowa Community College workforce training partnerships
  • +Mississippi River flood-resilience planning (post-2008/2019 flood response)

Supporting detail

Open any section to dig into the underlying data.

Layoff history (WARN)

Federal layoff filings on the timeline

WARN Act Notices (2020-2026)

Notices

0

Workers

0

Layoff Rate

0%

of total employment

2025

0

Workers Affected by Year

0
2020
0
2021
0
2022
0
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0
2026

Recent Notices

Source: Iowa Workforce Development WARN. Federal WARN Act: 60-day notice for mass layoffs (50+ workers) at employers with 100+ employees.

Disruption scenarios

Exponential impact paths driven by the timeline

Exponential Impact Scenarios

Cross-signal alerts

When multiple risk signals converge on this county

Convergence Alerts

highClimate-Economic Nexusstrength 43%
Ecological 63/55Economic 59/50

Ecological stress amplifies economic disruption through insurance costs, infrastructure damage, supply chain disruptions, and forced migration patterns.

Precedent: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Texas winter storm (2021): climate events created multi-year economic disruption in affected regions.

Clinton County: 2 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.

Full economic profile

Demographics, employment, sectors, incentives

EVI: transitionalBASELINENon-Metro (RUCC 4)

Housing & Infrastructure

Median Home Value

$135K

Homeownership

72%

Median Rent

$750

Broadband Access

87.0%

Avg Commute

19.5 min

Labor Force Part.

60.0%

Affordable housing stock heavy in pre-1940 Victorian and early-20th-century mill-town homes. Values track manufacturing employment closely. Flood-zone exposure along the river depresses values for properties west of the levee.

Employment by Sector

Manufacturing (food, chemicals, plastics, metals)22%
Education & Health Services18%
Trade, Transportation & Utilities17.5%
Leisure & Hospitality9%
Construction5.5%

Population & Talent

Population

46K

Change Since 2020

-2.5%

Median Age

43

Slow net out-migration of younger workers to the Quad Cities, Cedar Rapids, and Des Moines. Aging-in-place pattern typical of midwestern industrial small cities.

Mississippi River industrial town anchored by ADM's corn-wet-milling complex and a contracting legacy manufacturing base. Population has stagnated since the 1980s. Major flood events in 2008 and 2019 (approx) tested river-defense infrastructure. The county's economic future hinges on whether ADM continues to deepen its Clinton footprint and whether MercyOne and Clinton Community College can re-skill an aging workforce as ag-automation and process AI thin headcount in the dominant plants.

Sources

Census QuickFacts: Clinton County, IowaBLS LAUS: Iowa Employment SummaryClinton County, Iowa (county government)Eastern Iowa Community College District (Clinton CC)

Grant matches

Federal funding aligned to county levers

Target industries

Sectors prioritized by the county strategy

Sectors aligned with the county’s diversification strategy and AI impact assessment.

1.Corn Wet-Milling (ADM Clinton complex)

AI mixed

ADM operates a corn-wet-milling complex in Clinton that is among the largest in the world, producing sweeteners, starches, ethanol, and bioproducts. The plant anchors the county's industrial tax base and ag-supply chain. Productivity gains from process automation and AI-driven control systems extract more output per worker, keeping the plant competitive but slowly thinning headcount over time.

2.Mississippi River Logistics

AI mixed

Clinton is a barge port on the Upper Mississippi (Lock and Dam 13 sits just upstream). Grain, fertilizer, and ADM outputs move by river, rail (UP main line + BNSF), and truck. UPS operates a regional air hub at the Quad Cities (Rockford/Moline) within easy reach. AI-driven scheduling, autonomous trucking pilots, and tow-boat optimization affect employment patterns in dispatch and back-office roles more than crew jobs.

Back to Iowa

County data: Census ACS, BLS, BEA. Disruption Profile scores 0-100 (higher = more disruption). Timeline adjusts projections.

3.Manufacturing (metals, chemicals, plastics)

AI headwind

Beyond ADM, Clinton hosts mid-size manufacturing in plastics (Custom-Pak), specialty chemicals, and metal fabrication. The sector has contracted over decades as legacy plants closed, but a core remains. AI productivity gains favor the survivors and accelerate the squeeze on smaller, older shops.

4.Healthcare (MercyOne / Trinity Health)

AI tailwind

MercyOne Clinton Medical Center is the regional hospital for eastern Clinton County and parts of Whiteside County (IL) across the river. It serves an aging, rural-adjacent population with limited specialist access. Telemedicine, AI triage, and remote monitoring have outsized impact in this isolation context.

5.Workforce Training (Clinton Community College)

AI tailwind

Clinton Community College, part of the Eastern Iowa Community College District (EICC), is the primary local pipeline for industrial-trades, nursing, and process-operator training. The Ashford University legacy campus (now Grand Canyon University online) is defunct as a local-campus employer. CCC's relevance grows as ADM and manufacturers re-skill workers around automated process control.

Best-case opportunities

What this county wins in the preferred future

Sources

Government, academic, and live data feeds

Census QuickFacts: Clinton County, IowaBLS: Iowa Employment SummaryClinton County, Iowa (county government)Archer Daniels MidlandMercyOne (Trinity Health)Eastern Iowa Community College District (Clinton CC)