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Globe/United States/New Mexico

New Mexico

NM · Santa Fe · 2.1M people

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Future Path

Pick a future path. Every number on this page updates with the impacts and the ranked actions for that path.

Counties with Full Profiles

Lea County

74KAI > AGI >…: 32

Disruption profile

New Mexico vs national average across the 9 disruption dimensions.

Extreme — Active disruption underway in all sectors — especially finance

High — Active disruption underway in defense contracting

High — Active disruption underway in agriculture

High — Active disruption underway in cybersecurity

Moderate — Moderate exposure across knowledge work

Low — Moderate exposure across higher education

Low — Limited disruption signal

Minimal — Limited disruption signal

Minimal — Limited disruption signal

New Mexico vs US National Average

New Mexico exceeds state average on 3/9 dimensions. Highest divergence: AI > AGI > ASI (-52)

Click a dimension label to explore

New Mexico US National
Disruption Digest

New Mexico faces concentrated disruption across 4 dimensions, centered on economic disruption (83/100). Political risk (79/100) and economic disruption form the dual pressure points to watch.

Stakes for New Mexico

Aggregate across 1 profiled county

Probable cone · 1.00x

Across 34K jobs in the covered counties, weighted AI exposure is 25/100. Aggregating recommendations from 8 county-level actions, here is what the model projects through 2031 (default 5-year horizon — scrub the timeline to extend).

Aggregated across counties we’ve profiled. Coverage will expand as more counties are added. Tap a tile above to see which counties contribute to that figure.

Locus of Control — New Mexico Aggregate

Of 8 recommended actions across 1 profiled county, 7sit within counties’ direct control. Tap any sphere below to drill into the contributing actions and counties.

County-controllable levers add up to +36 STEEPE pts of potential improvement, the largest sphere of leverage available without state or federal coordination.

Top Employers — New Mexico

The 10 largest employers shaping the local labor market. Tap any row for the public-data profile and AI-exposure assessment.

Combined headcount across profiled employers: 48K globally · 9 not yet profiled

Supporting detail

Open any section to dig into the underlying data.

Live economic indicators

Federal Reserve and BLS state series

AI industry exposure

Gauge of vulnerability and major AI employers

Moderate Exposure48/100

AI exposure is building but not yet acute. national lab research stand to gain more than government services lose in the near term.

Most Vulnerable

government services

healthcare admin

Most Benefiting

national lab research

defense

space

Cross-signal alerts

When multiple risk signals converge on this state

Convergence Alerts

highClimate-Economic Nexusstrength 100%
Ecological 78/55Economic 83/50

Ecological stress amplifies economic disruption through insurance costs, infrastructure damage, supply chain disruptions, and forced migration patterns.

Precedent: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Texas winter storm (2021): climate events created multi-year economic disruption in affected regions.

New Mexico: 2 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.

AI sentiment + SWOT

Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats

AI Impact Analysis

Click Generate to analyze anti-AI sentiment and create a SWOT analysis for New Mexico using xAI Grok.

Key traits

State characteristics shaping the disruption response

Los Alamos & Sandia National Laboratories (nuclear, quantum)Highest Poverty Rate Among US StatesSpaceport America (Virgin Galactic commercial launches)Severe Drought and Desertification RiskOil/Gas Permian Basin Revenue DependenceWhite Sands Missile Range (largest US military installation)

Analysis

Long-form briefing for this state

A state of stark contrasts: world-class scientific research institutions operating alongside persistent poverty and underfunded public services. Los Alamos National Laboratory and Sandia National Laboratories make New Mexico a top-tier node in quantum computing research, nuclear weapons modernization, and high-performance computing. The state's quantum research capabilities rank among the highest in the nation, driven by federal defense spending rather than private sector investment.

Ecological stress is severe and accelerating. New Mexico faces chronic drought, Rio Grande water depletion, desertification of rangeland, and wildfire risk in forested highlands. The Hermits Peak/Calf Canyon Fire (2022), started by the US Forest Service, burned over 340,000 acres and displaced thousands, illustrating the compounding risk of climate change and institutional failure. Water scarcity is an existential constraint on economic growth.

Economic disruption risk is among the highest in the US. The state has the highest poverty rate, heavy dependence on federal spending (military bases, labs, tribal services), and a volatile oil and gas sector that funds roughly 40% of the state budget. Education outcomes rank near the bottom nationally, limiting workforce adaptation to technological change. Spaceport America represents an ambitious bet on commercial space, but its economic impact remains modest compared to the scale of structural challenges.

Sources

Government, academic, and live data feeds

FRED New Mexico GDP (NMNQGSP)BLS New Mexico Employment SummaryEIA New Mexico State Energy ProfileU.S. Census Bureau New Mexico Population

Population: 2.13M (Census Jul 2025). GDP: $141B (BEA Q3 2025). Los Alamos and Sandia Labs employ 25,000+ directly. Permian Basin oil revenue funds ~40% of state budget.

Back to United States

Disruption scores range 0-100. Higher = more disruption potential. Data sources: FRED, BLS, Census, EIA.