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Globe/United States/Texas/Angelina County

Angelina County

Deep East Texas / Pine Belt, Texas · 86K people · $3.5B GDP

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Timeline
2026Present
NOW
EVENT HORIZON
2020202620302035204020452050
Deep East Texas / Pine Belt

Future Path

Pick a future path. Every number on this page updates with the impacts and the ranked actions for that path.

Disruption Profile

Baseline + Probable

High — Active disruption underway in key sectors

High — Median household income $56K (-26.7% vs state median) -- significantly below state average, limiting consumer spending and tax base.

High — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Building pressure in key sectors

Moderate — Moderate exposure across select industries

Moderate — Moderate exposure across select industries

Low — AI Exposure Index: 28/100 -- lower vulnerability to AI-driven workforce disruption.

Minimal — Limited disruption signal

Minimal — Limited disruption signal

Angelina County vs Texas Average

Angelina County exceeds Texas average on 3/9 dimensions. Highest divergence: AI > AGI > ASI (-40)

Click a dimension label to explore

Angelina Texas US Avg

Projected impact · 2026

Stakes for Angelina County

Probable cone · 1.00x

With 36K jobs in Angelina County and AI exposure at 28/100, here is what the model projects through 2031 under the probable cone (default 5-year horizon — scrub the timeline to extend).

Model: at-risk = workforce × (AI exposure ÷ 100) × ((year − 2020) ÷ 10, capped 0-1) × cone multiplier. Each STEEPE-point improvement preserves ~1% of at-risk jobs. The same formula runs backwards (retrodiction) and forwards (projection), so scrubbing pre-2026 shows what the model says was already exposed by that year.

See per-dimension breakdown

How 8 actions distribute across 4 dimensions, plus near-term vs medium-term lists.

If Angelina County implements all 8 recommended actions, the model projects these dimensional improvements.

Education Value
35+15 pts
Close the Skills Gap with AI-Ready Credentials /Sector-Aligned K-12 + Community College Pipeline /Registered Apprenticeship Expansion: Manufacturing (forest products + oilfield equipment)
Social Trust
46+9 pts
Targeted Poverty Reduction in Highest-Need Areas /Pre-Positioned Displaced Worker Rapid Response
AI > AGI > ASI
33+7 pts
Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact /Universal Broadband for AI Economy Participation
Ecological Stress
77+4 pts
Climate Resilience Infrastructure Investment
Near-term (1-3 yr)+29 pts

6 actions within local control

  • - Close the Skills Gap with AI-Ready Credentials
  • - Targeted Poverty Reduction in Highest-Need Areas
  • - Sector-Aligned K-12 + Community College Pipeline
  • - Anchor Employer AI Co-Investment Compact
  • - Registered Apprenticeship Expansion: Manufacturing (forest products + oilfield equipment)
  • - Pre-Positioned Displaced Worker Rapid Response
Medium-term (3-7 yr)+6 pts

2 actions requiring partnerships or advocacy

  • - Universal Broadband for AI Economy Participation
  • - Climate Resilience Infrastructure Investment

Action Plan

Probable path

Top recommendations for Angelina County, ranked by estimated impact. 8 total · +35 pts combined.

Who Can Act

Of 8 recommended actions for Angelina County, 7 are within direct control. Tap a sphere to see the actions and what each one does.

Acting on the 7 local levers alone (+33 STEEPE pts) is the fastest path to shifting the probable→preferred future cone for this county.

Top Employers — Angelina County

The 8 largest employers shaping the local labor market. Tap any row for the public-data profile and AI-exposure assessment.

Economic Development Authority

Lufkin / Angelina County Chamber of Commerce + Angelina County Economic Development

Deep East Texas Pine Belt Diversification

Website

Target Sectors

Forest Products (modernization + automation)Oilfield Equipment Manufacturing (Baker Hughes Lufkin)Healthcare (CHRISTUS Memorial Lufkin regional hub)Workforce Training (Angelina College trades + allied health)

Active Programs

  • +Angelina College workforce-training partnerships with Baker Hughes and regional employers
  • +Deep East Texas Council of Governments regional planning
  • +Texas Workforce Commission Skills Development Fund grants
  • +USDA Rural Development infrastructure funding

Recent Wins

Baker Hughes Lufkin facility continued operations and capital investment
2024

Supporting detail

Open any section to dig into the underlying data.

Layoff history (WARN)

Federal layoff filings on the timeline

WARN Act Notices (2020-2026)

Notices

0

Workers

0

Layoff Rate

0%

of total employment

2025

0

Workers Affected by Year

0
2020
0
2021
0
2022
0
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0
2026

Recent Notices

Source: Texas Workforce Commission WARN. Federal WARN Act: 60-day notice for mass layoffs (50+ workers) at employers with 100+ employees.

Disruption scenarios

Exponential impact paths driven by the timeline

Exponential Impact Scenarios

Cross-signal alerts

When multiple risk signals converge on this county

Convergence Alerts

highClimate-Economic Nexusstrength 98%
Ecological 77/55Economic 69/50

Ecological stress amplifies economic disruption through insurance costs, infrastructure damage, supply chain disruptions, and forced migration patterns.

Precedent: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Texas winter storm (2021): climate events created multi-year economic disruption in affected regions.

Angelina County: 2 dimensions converging above thresholds simultaneously.

Full economic profile

Demographics, employment, sectors, incentives

EVI: transitionalBASELINENon-Metro (RUCC 5)

Housing & Infrastructure

Median Home Value

$143K

Homeownership

69.3%

Median Rent

$858

Broadband Access

81.0%

Avg Commute

21.3 min

Labor Force Part.

55.2%

Affordable by Texas standards; stable Pineywoods market. Sam Rayburn lakefront submarket has a thin retiree / second-home premium. Limited new construction.

Employment by Sector

Manufacturing (forest products + oilfield equipment)14.5%
Education & Health Services18.2%
Trade, Transportation & Utilities16.1%
Leisure & Hospitality9.6%
Government11.4%

Population & Talent

Population

86K

Change Since 2020

-0.4%

Median Age

37.4

Net out-migration of younger workers as paper-mill and forestry employment contracts. Partially offset by retiree in-migration drawn to Sam Rayburn and Pineywoods cost of living.

Deep East Texas Pine Belt economy in slow structural transition. Forest-products / paper-mill base has eroded with consolidation and automation, while the Baker Hughes (formerly Lufkin Industries) oilfield-equipment facility remains a manufacturing anchor whose long-run trajectory is tied to oilfield capex and energy transition. CHRISTUS Memorial Lufkin is the regional healthcare hub. Angelina College and SFASU spillover (30 minutes north in Nacogdoches) provide workforce-training depth. Sam Rayburn Reservoir tourism is a modest stable leg.

Sources

Census QuickFacts: Angelina County, TXBLS: Texas Employment SummaryAngelina County (official)Angelina College

Grant matches

Federal funding aligned to county levers

Target industries

Sectors prioritized by the county strategy

Sectors aligned with the county’s diversification strategy and AI impact assessment.

1.Forest Products (Lufkin paper-pulp + lumber)

AI headwind

Angelina County sits at the center of the historic East Texas Pine Belt. Roy O. Martin Lumber, regional International Paper / Domtar pulp operations, and a long tail of sawmills form the backbone. Recent paper-mill consolidations have eroded employment; automation in mills compounds the decline even where production stays flat.

2.Oilfield Manufacturing (Baker Hughes, formerly Lufkin Industries)

AI mixed

Lufkin Industries (founded 1902) defined the world's reciprocating oilfield pumping-unit market. Acquired by GE Oil & Gas in 2013 and now part of Baker Hughes, the Lufkin facility remains a meaningful manufacturing employer. EV/energy-transition pressure on the oilfield product line is the central long-run question for the county.

Healthcare (CHRISTUS Memorial Lufkin)

Back to Texas

County data: Census ACS, BLS, BEA. Disruption Profile scores 0-100 (higher = more disruption). Timeline adjusts projections.

3.
AI tailwind

CHRISTUS Health Northeast Texas operates Memorial Lufkin, the regional referral hospital for Deep East Texas. Serves an aging Pineywoods population, oilfield-injury and forestry-injury caseload, and the broader Lufkin/Nacogdoches catchment. Telemedicine and AI triage have outsized impact given rural isolation.

4.Higher Education (Angelina College + SFASU spillover)

AI mixed

Angelina College is the in-county community college, focused on workforce training (welding, allied health, forestry tech). Stephen F. Austin State University in Nacogdoches (~30 minutes north) is a regional teaching/forestry school that draws Angelina-resident workforce. Online-learning shifts and remote work amplify the spillover from SFASU.

5.Outdoor Recreation (Sam Rayburn Reservoir + Pineywoods tourism)

AI tailwind

Sam Rayburn Reservoir, on Angelina's eastern edge, is a top-tier US bass-fishing destination and hosts major Bassmaster events. Davy Crockett National Forest, Angelina National Forest, and the Pineywoods cultural region pull regional tourism. A modest but stable economic leg.

Best-case opportunities

What this county wins in the preferred future

Sources

Government, academic, and live data feeds

Census QuickFacts: Angelina County, TXBLS: Texas Employment SummaryAngelina County (official)Angelina CollegeCHRISTUS HealthBaker Hughes (Lufkin facility)